Below normal 2014 Atlantic and Caribbean
Glenroy Brown, April 12, 2014
latest information coming out of the Colorado State University is that the
hurricane season is forecast to be below average
activity for the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season. Professor William Grey and his team anticipate that the 2014 Atlantic basin
hurricane season will have below-average activity compared with the 1981-2010
climatology. It appears quite likely that an El Niño of at least moderate strength will
develop this summer and fall. In addition, the tropical Atlantic has anomalously
cooled over the past few months. We anticipate a below-average probability for major
hurricanes making landfall along the United States
coastline and in the Caribbean.
estimate that 2014 will have about 9 named storms, 3 hurricanes, of
which 1 will become major
are advising that despite the quiet
forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one
hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them.
They are reminded to
prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how
little activity is
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