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  2011 Atlantic and Caribbean Hurricane Season

Glenroy Brown, May 15, 2011
Possible impact on Jamaica and the Caribbean.


The latest information coming out of the Colorado State University is that the Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to be well above average activity for the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season. Professor William Grey and his team continue to look at uncertainty about ENSO (El Niño/La Niña-Southern Oscillation) and the maintenance of anomalously warm

Tropical Atlantic SST (sea surface temperature) conditions.


Information obtained through March 2011 indicates that the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season will have significantly more activity than the average season. They estimate that 2011 will have about 9 hurricanes, 16 named storms of which 5 will become major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes.


They have decreased their seasonal forecast slightly from the early December forecast, due to anomalous warming in the eastern and central Tropical Pacific and cooling in the Tropical Atlantic.


Also, they expect current La Niña conditions to transition to near-neutral during the heart of the hurricane season. However, overall conditions remain conducive for a very active hurricane Season.


Jamaica Weather Report is an established Jamaican web site that targets internet audience both locally and abroad who are seeking weather related information about the island of Jamaica.

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Source: http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu

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